Money is betting both big wars pause this month; the strike logs say otherwise

Most likely (60%) the Russia-Ukraine repricing reflects contact genuinely being arranged rather than noise — a thirty-six point move to near-certainty on a meeting before 31 October is too large and too date-specific to be pure narrative, and it follows the American decision on 17 October to hold newly signed sanctions and waive tariffs, which is the kind of concession that…

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