The winner of the stealmybitcoin[.]com exploit challenge has a remarkably good writeup on the #PHP2Shell exploit process. The PoC clearly explains what's involved in targeting and calibration for any given PHP version/deployment.
XFEDI
ActivityPubConversation
What this tells us is exploitation requires knowledge of:
- PHP version
- Reasonable address spaces for the heap
- PHP worker count
- Exact offsets for all of the above
Blind attacks are highly likely to fail unless allowed to continue for some time.