"Both of those outcomes—a catastrophic long-term setback or an enormous victory—are possible by adding very, very modest assumptions to the best data we have." https://www.liberalcurrents.com/editors-notes-freedom-means-you-dont-know-how-people-will-vote/
Liberal CurrentsEditor's Notes: Freedom Means You Don't Know How People Will VotePolls are the only things worth looking at for gauging where things stand with elections, and they are not very good.